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RSS Morning Sitrep

12/29/2025 3:00:35 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for [[Current Date]]

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Widespread dense fog covers much of the state this morning from the Suwannee Valley through Lake Okeechobee.
    • Foggy conditions will gradually lift and dissipate throughout the morning hours.
  • A potent but mostly dry cold front will push through North and Central Florida during the daytime hours bringing isolated to widely scattered showers ahead of it (25-55% chance of rain).
    • The best chance for shower activity will be across North Florida as the shower activity will dissipate as the front approaches Central Florida later today.
  • As the front passes through, gusty winds will develop behind it allowing forwind gusts to reach 20-25 mph, possibly higher, and spread throughout North Florida and into Central Florida by the late afternoon hours.
  • High temperatures will reach the upper 60s to upper 70s throughout the state today, with portions of Southeast Florida possibly reaching the lower 80s.
    • The Panhandle and western Big Bend will see their high temperatures this morning and near midday as the front moving through will usher much cooler air in behind it during the daytime hours.
  • This evening and overnight the cold front will continue to push through Central and South Florida remaining mostly dry, but some light sprinkles cannot be ruled out (less than 10% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures tonight across North Florida will fall into the30s across North Florida,upper 30s to upper 40s across Central Florida and 50s to lower 60s across South Florida.
  • Ongoing breezy winds overnight and cold temperatures will createfeels-like temperatures (wind chills) in thelower tomiddle 20s across the Panhandle andmiddle toupper 20s across the Big Bend, Northeast Florida and towards Nature Coast by sunrise Tuesday morning.
    • Cold Weather Advisories (Wind Chill Advisory) will go into effect tonight across the Panhandle and western Big Bend, and there may be a further extension eastward of advisories throughout the day.
    • North-Central Florida can also expect to see feels-like temperatures in thelower tomiddle 30s.
  • Amoderate to high risk for rip currents extends along the Panhandle and East Coast of Florida with increasingwave heights of 2-5' associated with a passing cold front.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

12/28/2025 2:57:08 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, December 28, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Dense fog and low cloudshave developed across the Sunshine State this morning, prompting the issuance ofDense Fog Advisoriesthat extend south of the I-4 corridor.
  • Foggy conditions are expected to persist through the mid-morning hours and may be slow to dissipate.
  • Expect another day ofabove normal temperatures, with rain chances held to a minimum statewide (less than 5% chance).
  • Rain chances increase tonight along the western Florida Panhandle (25-50%) as our next weather system comes into view.
  • An isolated rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out; however, severe weather or flash flooding is not expected.
  • Low-level moisture and light winds from the Florida Big Bend through the Florida Peninsula will promote the development offog and low cloudstonight into Monday morning; areas ofdense fogwill be likely.
  • Locally sensitive wildfire conditionscontinue statewide, especially for locations experiencing long-term drought and dry soils/vegetation;expect further reductions in visibility in areas where fog develops near any ongoing wildfires or burns
  • Amoderate risk of rip currentscan be expected for many Florida beaches today, withhigh riskconditions residing along the East-Central Florida coastline. 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

12/27/2025 2:42:34 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, December 27, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A few areas ofdense fog have developed across the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning and will linger through the mid-morning hours before dissipating, andDense Fog Advisorieswill remain in effect until then.
  • Otherwise, another dry and pleasant day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure remains anchored right over the state.
  • Partly cloudy skies can be expected across North Florida today with some elevated moisture in the atmosphere. Still, rainfall chances will remain near zero statewide.
  • Given the ongoing warmer and drier conditions, drought may continue to worsen which may lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditionsacross much of the state today, despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds.
  • High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 70s across North Florida this afternoon, with a few lower 80s possible. Upper 70s to lower 80s can be expected in Central and South Florida.
  • Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight.
  • Lingering low-level moisture and warmer temperatures will promote another night oflow cloud and patchy fogdevelopment overnight and towards daybreak Sunday morning.
    • Locally dense fogcould develop across much of North and Central Florida andDense Fog Advisorieswill be issued as conditions warrant tonight. 
  • Low temperatures will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s nearly statewide tonight, the exception being coastal Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys where lows in the middle 60s to lower 70s are expected.
  • A building ocean swell offshore will bring ahigh risk for rip currentsto East-Central Florida beaches. Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for Northeast Florida and Panhandle beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

12/26/2025 2:26:20 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, December 26, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A few areas ofdense fog have developed across the Panhandle this morning and will linger through the mid-morning hours before dissipating, andDense Fog Advisorieswill remain in effect until 10 AM EST.
  • Otherwise, another sunny and dry day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure remains anchored right over the state.
  • Warm and dry conditions will continue to worsen drought conditions which may lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditionsacross much of the state today, despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds.
  • High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 70s across North Florida this afternoon, with a few lower 80s possible. Upper 70s to lower 80s can be expected in Central and South Florida.
  • Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight.
  • Lingering low-level moisture and warmer temperatures will promote another night oflow cloud and patchy fogdevelopment overnight and towards daybreak Saturday morning.
    • Locally dense fogcould develop across portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend andDense Fog Advisorieswill be issued as conditions warrant tonight. 
  • Low temperatures will dip into the middle 50s across much of the Peninsula tonight, as far south as interior South Florida. Lows will only reach the middle to upper 60s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys.
  • Across North Florida, warmer overnight lows are expected over the Panhandle, only reaching the upper 50s to lower 60s.
  • Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches today.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

12/25/2025 3:00:22 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, December 25, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A rinse and repeat day today as high pressure continues to dominate the local pattern, keeping quiet, sunny, and dry conditions in place.
  • Areas of dense fog have developed across much of the Panhandle this morning and will linger through the mid-morning hours before dissipating.
    • Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect until mid to late this morning for land areas, with some sea fog persisting along the local Panhandle waters until noon.
  • A slight chance of an isolated shower or brief sprinkle exists across coastal Southeast Florida this afternoon (15-20% chance of rain), however any of this activity will be very limited in coverage.
  • Warm and dry conditions will continue to worsen drought conditions which may lead to locally sensitive wildfire conditions across much of the state today, despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds.
  • High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 70s across North Florida this afternoon, with a few lower 80s possible. Upper 70s to lower 80s can be expected in Central and South Florida.
  • Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight.
  • Lingering low-level moisture and warmer temperatures will promote another night of low cloud and patchy fog development overnight and towards daybreak Friday morning.
    • Locally dense fog is likely to develop again across the Panhandle and Big Bend and Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant tonight.
  • Low temperatures will dip into the lower to middle 50s across much of the state tonight, as far south as interior South Florida. Lows will only reach the middle to upper 60s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected today for Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

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