Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Wednesday, June 10, 2026
...Scattered to Widespread Showers and Thunderstorms Expected Today Along the I-75 Corridor... Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding in Southwest Florida... Isolated to Scattered Chance Elsewhere Across the East Coast and North Florida... Any Storm Could Produce Lightning and Heavy Downpours... Seasonable Heat and Humidity Continues... Feels-like Temperatures in the Upper 90s to Lower 100s Today... Areas of Patchy Fog Across the Western Panhandle Tonight... Moderate Risk for Rip Currents Along Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...
Updated at 9:00 AM EDT
Today's Threats:
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No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Excessive Heat |
Flash Flooding |
Fog (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
Southwest & West-Central FL Peninsula & Eastern Panhandle
|
|
|
Iso. Statewide |
Locally Statewide |
Southwest FL
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Western Panhandle |
East Coast & Panhandle West Coast & Northwest FL |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Surface high pressure located off to our northeast has begun to move southeastward and away from the state of Florida. The positioning of the high today relative to Florida will promote easterly to southeasterly flow. Today’s scattered showers and storms will likely initiate along the East Coast (20-30% chance for rain) in the late-morning / early-afternoon hours and quickly advance westward along this easterly flow, increasing in both intensity and coverage as this occurs. The western half of the Peninsula along the I-75 Corridor will expectedly be the hotspot for afternoon showers and storms (50-70% chance for rain) today. Activity will likely persist in the early overnight hours just after sunset, with most activity dissipating or pushing offshore by midnight. Elsewhere, a medium (30-50%) chance for rain is expected across Northeast FL and the Eastern Panhandle following typical sea-breeze patterns. Due to the risk of very heavy downpours from a richly moist atmospheric profile over Southwest Florida, the Weather Prediction Center has outlooked a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding today for portions of Southwest Florida. There is no organized risk of severe weather with any of today’s activity, but a few locally strong thunderstorms capable of producing isolated damaging winds are possible, especially within Southwest Florida.
Hot and muggy conditions will continue across the state today. High temperatures will range from the upper 80s across the East Coast to the lower 90s elsewhere today. Humidity continues is upward climb today, allowing for feels-like temperatures in the upper 90s along the East Coast and upper 90s to lower 100s elsewhere within the state and especially along the West Coast. Recent hot and dry conditions have helped to dry out vegetation statewide which will encourage locally sensitive wildfire conditions despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds and winds below 20 mph.
Lows will fall into the 70s to lower 80s across the state tonight. Increased moisture and calmer winds may promote some early-morning patchy fog development across the Western Panhandle.
Rip Currents: Relatively weak onshore winds are expected along the Panhandle coast today where a low to moderate risk for rip currents is expected. A moderate risk is also expected along all East Coast beaches where breezy onshore winds will increase today. A low risk persists for West Coast beaches. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Surf will be at around 2-3’ along the East Coast, with West Coast and Panhandle beaches expecting surf heights of 1-2’ today.
Red Tide: was observed at background concentrations in Pinellas County over the past week. It was not observed elsewhere across the state (valid 6/5/26).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Moisture continues to creep up across the state today alongside onshore easterly winds of 15-20 mph across East Coast. Scattered to widespread showers and storms are expected today, primarily across Southwest Florida, with more isolated to scattered chances in the eastern Panhandle and the I-95 Corridor. Any of today’s thunderstorm activity may be accompanied by lightning and brief gusty/erratic winds. Relative humidities will remain well above critical thresholds today, however recent hot and dry weather combined with long-term drought conditions will promote at least locally sensitive wildfire conditions statewide, especially with the risk of lightning-based ignitions. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 41 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 4,875 acres.
Drought (6/2/26): Notable categorical improvements were made on this week’s Drought Monitor update across the Western Panhandle and portions of Northeast and Southwest Florida. In the Panhandle where the highest rainfall totals (4-6”) were observed last week, the existing severe drought (level 2 of 4) west of the Apalachicola River was reduced to a moderate drought (level 1 of 4). The extreme drought (level 3 of 4) across portions of Bay, Calhoun, Gadsen, Liberty, Gulf and portions of Western Leon and Wakulla and Franklin counties was reduced to a severe drought (level 2 of 4). The western and northeastern extent of the exceptional drought (level 4 of 4) area was trimmed, reducing portions of Leon, Liberty, Franklin, Wakulla, Jefferson, Madison, Taylor, Nassau, Baker, Columbia, and Hamilton counties to a severe drought (level 3 of 4). Elsewhere, the area of extreme drought (level 3 of 4) was reduced to a severe drought (level 2 of 4) along eastern Nassau, Duval, St. Johns, Clay, and Putnam, northern Volusia and Lake counties, and for all of Flagler county. The small swath of severe drought (level 2 of 4) across Southwest Florida has been expanded southward to encompass western Collier and extreme northwestern Monroe counties. All other remaining drought areas saw little to no change in this update. 99% of Florida remains in at least a moderate drought, with 10% of the state (Big Bend and North-Central Florida) in an exceptional drought - a 7% reduction in exceptional drought coverage compared to last week. Looking ahead, a drier pattern is expected to follow for much of the state which may promote some localized worsening of categorical drought conditions.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 404 (+14) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 9 out of 67 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across isolated areas in Southwest Florida today where an extremely moist atmospheric profile will promote widespread heavy downpours capable of isolated flash flooding within the heaviest cells.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across the state. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 11.15 feet, which is within the operational band and is 2.00 feet below normal for this time of year.
